Ismail Sattaoui

Ismail Sattaoui

The West is slashing global health programmes. Could that be a good thing?

29 April 2025

Geopolitical shifts could help health systems in low- and middle-income countries become more autonomous, inclusive and sustainable.

As the world navigates an increasingly complex geopolitical landscape, global health policy is undergoing a significant transformation. Traditional power structures are shifting, with new players stepping up to fill leadership voids left by historical donors and institutions. The vacuum left by the US scaling back its involvement in multilateral institutions such as the World Health Organization, and the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) reducing its funding footprint, represents a unique opportunity for other nations to step up.

At the same time, emerging health threats – from antimicrobial resistance to climate-induced disease outbreaks – are demanding fresh approaches. These crises offer a chance to reshape global health policy in a way that is more inclusive, regionally responsive and technologically advanced.

The rise of regional health leadership and a multipolar world

The international system of players and institutions is changing. BRICS (an intergovernmental organisation of ten countries including Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) is challenging the Western-dominated initiatives that characterise global health. One of the most notable shifts in global health governance is the growing influence of regional bodies and the rise of a multipolar order; both aim to strengthen health sovereignty and autonomy.

With external health aid to Africa decreasing by 70% between 2021 and 2025, the African Union (AU) and the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention have significantly expanded their role in shaping the continent’s health agenda. The AU’s Partnership for African Vaccine Manufacturing (PAVM) is not just about localising production – it represents a fundamental shift towards self-sufficiency in healthcare. In response to global supply-chain disruptions, African nations are investing in biotechnology infrastructure and workforce development, positioning the continent as a leader in vaccine equity. The continent aims to produce and supply 60% of the vaccines it requires by 2040; currently, it produces 0.1% of the world’s total vaccine supply, although it represents 19.36% of the world’s population.

The African Union and the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention have significantly expanded their role in shaping the continent’s health agenda.

Despite efforts to increase domestic investment, there are still substantial funding gaps. Many African countries struggle to meet the Abuja Declaration target of allocating 15% of their national budgets to health. In April 2025, the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention published a guide on how to transform health financing in the continent. The novel financing ideas include solidarity levies on airline tickets, alcohol and mobile services; and the guide explores how Africa’s $95 billion in annual diaspora remittances can support national health priorities.

Similarly, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) has strengthened its health policy coordination. Faced with rising concerns over zoonotic diseases and cross-border health threats, in 2022 ASEAN launched a regional Centre for Public Health Emergencies and Emerging Diseases, which integrates surveillance, research and rapid response across member states. These steps are encouraging, with Japan committing USD $50 million of financial support. This shift ensures that health strategies fit regional needs rather than being influenced by external donors.

Climate change and health diplomacy

Another key driver of evolving health policy is the intersection of climate change and public health. Rising temperatures, extreme weather events and changing disease patterns are pushing health and environmental policy closer together.

Middle Eastern nations are pioneering heat-health adaptation strategies, as prolonged heatwaves threaten urban populations. The region is the world’s most water-stressed area and is home to some of the hottest locations on the planet. It is estimated that, on average, 2.1 per 100,000 deaths per year in the Middle East and North Africa region are heat related.

Countries including Saudi Arabia are funding research into cooling technologies, hydration solutions, and urban design that mitigates the health risks associated with rising temperatures. This marks a significant shift in health policy leadership, towards regions that historically have been less involved in public health governance.

No longer dominated by a handful of high-income nations, global health policy is becoming more representative of the diverse needs of populations.

A less centralised and more inclusive health future

These changes indicate a broader movement towards a multipolar global health governance structure, where decision-making is increasingly decentralised. No longer dominated by a handful of high-income nations, global health policy is becoming more representative of the diverse needs of populations.

Nevertheless, nations striving for self-sufficiency in healthcare still face significant challenges, including funding gaps, infrastructure deficiencies, political instability and epidemiological transitions. Disparities in wealth and a historical dependency on external aid complicate efforts further.

Yet shifting leadership in global health is not just a challenge – it is also an opportunity. As traditional donors pull back, emerging powers, regional alliances and technological pioneers are reshaping the future of healthcare. This evolution has the potential to reduce dependency, enhance regional autonomy and create more responsive and sustainable health policies. The key to harnessing these opportunities lies in embracing collaborative governance, investing in innovation and ensuring that health equity remains at the core of this transformation.

 

The opinions expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of The Health Policy Partnership.
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